US expects a civil war in AfghanistanEuropost
The Taliban do not have the potential to consolidate and rule Afghanistan and therefore a bloody civil war in the months ahead is the most likely scenario. The situation will erupt, the top US general confirmed, warning that those conditions could see a resurgence of terrorist groups in the country, AFP reported.
As American forces started their withdrawal, the Taliban took over Afghanistan in a lightning campaign, with only the northern province Panjshir holding out against the hardline Islamists. "My military estimate is that the conditions are likely to develop of a civil war," General Mark Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff said. He questioned whether the Taliban - who are yet to declare a government - would be able to consolidate power and establish effective governance."I think there's at least a very good probability of a broader civil war and that will then in turn lead to conditions that could, in fact, lead to a reconstitution of Al-Qaeda or a growth of ISIS or other terrorist groups," Milley said."The conditions are very likelythat you could see a resurgence of terrorism coming out of that general region within 12, 24, 36 months."
Western governments fear Afghanistan could again become a haven for extremists bent on attacking them.